Jean Raspail

Situation report #13: International law – from bad to worse

According to a source within the recently held Annual Conference of the European Society of International Law, the next decade will not go from bad to worse, but from bad to worst. The consensus at the conferences was that the current global turmoil is “…only the beginning”. Their concerns?

Syria and the Islamic State (IS, ISIS)

This humanitarian catastrophe cause mass migration onto the borders of the EU and paralyze Europe and its judicial system. Russian, Iranian, and Chinese interests are involved and current international law does not apply. Economic sanctions against Russia, and a multitude of internal factions prolong the conflict. Regional war over Syria is a theme among scenarios for the next world war.

Ukraine and geostrategy

A physical proxy war over geostrategic territory result in economic sanctions and prolong the conflict.  International law does not apply.

China and cyberwar

Financial turbulence in China is a distraction from the fundamental economic outlook for the country. According to the general opinion at the conference, western countries have a century to prepare for the end of their economic hegemony and a potential global lawfare without precedence. Cybernetic proxy war is a precursor. No international law apply to offensive cyberwar capacity.

… meanwhile The Camp of the Saints gains in popularity:


Read More

Situation report #12: China’s Sale of U.S. Debt


The global economic “race-to-the-bottom” game draws to an end:

The dollar’s share of China’s huge cache of currency reserves has been slashed to a record low, the Wall Street Journal reports, to which it adds the world hasn’t ended as a result.

But more recent data showing outright sales of U.S. securities by China suggests a less cavalier attitude would be in order. It isn’t the end of the world, just a portent of what can happen when the biggest buyer of America’s biggest export — its IOUs denominated in dollars — stops buying.

That would leave the Federal Reserve as lender of last resort to the U.S. government to fill the gap left by its biggest creditor. Think this Zimbabwe style of central-bank monetization of an unsustainable government debt can’t happen in one of the world’s major industrialized democracies? Well, it may be starting in Japan.

According to the Journal’s crunching of the numbers, dollar assets comprised 54% of Beijing’s $3 trillion-plus reserves as of last June 30, down from 74% as recently as the end of 2006. That’s based on data on China’s foreign-exchange reserves and the U.S. Treasury’s latest survey international holdings of U.S. securities. Those numbers show an outright increase in China’s holdings of U.S. securities, by $115 billion in the latest 12 months, to $1.726 trillion.

Beijing has made no secret of its desire to diversify from greenback assets — mainly U.S. Treasuries — and for the establishment of another reserve currency to use as a store of wealth and for international transactions. The European sovereign debt crisis has reduced the allure of the euro for those purposes. While Beijing has voiced limited support for the various schemes to ease Europe’s woes, it has added to its holdings of other, smaller currencies, such as the Australian dollar.

But more recent Treasury data show China has been selling Treasuries outright. And while the markets have been complacent to the point of snarkiness, MacroMavens’ Stephanie Pomboy thinks that’s wrong. Unlike other Cassandras, she’s been right in her warnings — notably in the middle of the last decade that the U.S. financial system was dangerously exposed to a bubble in U.S. real estate. Hers was a lonely voice then because everybody knew, of course, house prices always rose.


Read More


Situation Report #11.1: Global cybersecurity, energy wars, and IS vs. NATO

“Who controls the past controls the future.
Who controls the present controls the past.”
– George Orwell

Hacking Team lawfare

Hacking Team believes several former employees are in violation of the employment agreements in that they used their knowledge of the company and proprietary information to compete against Hacking Team, according to Eric Rabe, company spokesman for HT to Ars Technica by e-mail on Sunday.

“However, this is a personnel matter and the company has no further comment” – HT told Ars Technica.

“PLEASE find an interesting dispatch by the WSJ, a dispatch outstanding in its straightforwardness. I COULDN’T agree more with it — Thomas Hobbes and his 1651 masterpiece “Leviathan” taught us well that power vacua are the root of all evil. The USA must lead. Period. If they don’t — and Mr. Obama has been so foolish to try that — all sorts or thugs will fight to take their place, in fact rushing to fill a power vacuum.”  – Josef Joffe via the Hacking Team leaks on Wikileaks.

Cybersecurity 101

IS attack Turkey, NATO

Turkey Arrests 21 Suspected ISIS Members via Egypt receives first Rafale fighters – IHS Jane’s Defense Weekly.

The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL /ˈaɪsəl/; Arabic: الدولة الإسلامية في العراق والشام‎), also known as the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria or the Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS /ˈaɪsɪs/),[37] or simply Islamic State (IS),[38] is a Salafi jihadi extremist militant group and self-proclaimed caliphate and Islamic state which is led by Sunni Arabs from Iraq and Syria.

Nuclear energy games

Saudi Arabia’s contest for power with Iran could turn nuclear via Business Insider. North Korea says it’s ‘not interested’ in an Iran-style nuclear deal via The Washington Post


Read More


Situation Report #11: Proxy cyberwars, Solar Battles, Grexit and the Asian meltdown

Ill. Solar park planned in the desert of Oman.

The Rise of the Proxy Cyberwar

Private contractors with offensive cyberwar skills are on the rise. The Italian govenment contractor, Hacking Team, recently had their servers exfiltrated. The global company responded to the data breach with public threats and denials – CSO Online. “Oh great, good job, guys … now the TERRORISTS have our zero-day exploits” – The Register. New reports show that the breach at OPM (Office of Personnel Management) exposed more than 21 million american government employees – NYTimes.

Solar Battle Fossile Legacy

Solar Battles: Surplus oil kills surplus solar power when corporate and environmental front groups emerge influential in energy policies While oil prices drop Oman goes solar and builds giant solar plant to extract oil – WSJ.

Financial system shock or controlled Grexit

Increasingly more frequent financial shocks destabilize global markets. The List of Banks Expecting a ‘Grexit’ Is Getting Longer – Bloomberg. Bitcoin thrives on Greek tragedy and gives fresh life to virtual currencies – Leak Shows Hacking Team Created Bitcoin Wallet Tracker Coindesk.

Asian Meltdown

China prop up stock market 6 percent while financial systems collapse across Asia. China’s stock-market crash is just beginning – MarketWatch and China stock market surges in volatile session – BBC News

.. meanwhile the Chinese BTC industry thrives – Motherboard.

Read More


Nanotech: Friction of a single atom measured with ions

Illustration: Christine Daniloff/MIT

In tuning friction to the point where it disappears, technique could boost development of nanomachines. MIT reports on recent advances in nanotechnology. Source: MIT News.

According to Nature ions trapped in a vacuum have simulated the friction of surfaces down to the scale of single atoms, and in the process have demonstrated how some surfaces can slide past each other with almost no energy lost. Source: Nature.


Read More


Situation Report #10: Google, Ukraine, Yemen, and China

Meet Google the Monopolist

As the world slowly crumbles to pieces and the global economy implodes industrial competition are heating up. Google, with a 90 percent marked share on the global marked for mobile search, has been sued by the E.U. Commision on antitrust charges, according to Wall Street Journal.

Russia, NATO show military might over Ukraine

Two months after the Minsk peace accord signed on the 12th of February by the leaders of Russia, Ukraine, Germany and France, the prospects for a long-lasting solution to the conflict in Eastern Ukraine still look vague, according to Russia Beyond the Headlines. The murders of pro-Russian lobbyists increase tension in Ukraine standoff, according to Reuters. Meanwhile in Europe; Russian aircraft arrived as dozens of Nato warships gather off the coast of Scotland for Exercise Joint Warrior, according to the Telegraph.

Yemen conflict could spark regional war

In Iraq, the U.S.-backed efforts of Abadi’s Shiite-led government to vanquish the Islamic State, a Sunni organization, have been aided by Shiite-led Iran. Saudi Arabia, a Sunni monarchy, charges that the Houthi tribes it is fighting in Yemen are part of Tehran’s efforts to exert hegemony over the entire region, according to Washington Post.

China and IMF support Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank

As economic leaders gather here this week for meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, China is set to kick off a rival infrastructure development lender that promises to shake up the traditional American-led global financial order, according to LATimes.

On a brighter note:

Read More

A woman addresses Ukrainian Interior Ministry troops who formed a battle line during the clashes. Gleb Garanich/Reuters

Situation Report #9: Ukraine, 5GW, ISIS, and economic warfare


Accordring the United Nations Ukraine has since mid-January to the middle of last month seen at least 842 people dead and over 3,400 wounded. The armistice between Russia and Ukraine over eastern parts of the country broke down as suspected by OECD observers, EU, and NATO. Russian involvement has been obvious for observers and journalists since last year. The killing of Boris Nemtsov could be another political assassination arranged by Putin and friends.


The 5GW terror attacks on commentators and journalists in Paris, Belgium, and recently Denmark is proof that 5GW terrorism is the favorite choice for subversive organizations worldwide. Terrorism is warfare by the individual.


The geographical reach of ISIS and their sophisticated use of media progaganda becomes increasingly embaressing for western media and psyops. While western academics deny the possibilty of an ongoing religious and civilizational war all IS terror confirms their attack on liberal and Christian values. The prospect of a perpetual religious and propagandized war should concern us all.

Economic warfare

Meanwhile the world economy collapses due to wars, insecurity, european disintegration, negative interest rates, record low oil-prices and the resulting social distress. Unintended consequences or the beginning of WW4?

Read More